Ken
O’Brien
Think again!
A
new study by the Brennan Center for Justice focused on the impact of “dark”
and “gray” money on local elections in six states, including Massachusetts.
The report documents how far outside spending —
election spending that is not coordinated with candidates — at the state and
local levels has veered from the vision of democratic transparency the Citizens
United Court imagined, drawing on an extensive database of news accounts,
interviews with a range of stakeholders, campaign finance and tax records,
court cases, and social science research.
For
the first time, it also measures changes in dark money — and a thus far
unrecognized rise in what we term “gray money” — at the state level,
by
analyzing spender and contributor reports in six of nine states where sufficient
usable data were available. This set of six geographically and demographically diverse
states, comprising Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Maine, and
Massachusetts, represents approximately 20 percent of the nation’s population.
Altogether the review revealed several striking
trends:
• On average,
only 29 percent of outside spending was fully transparent in 2014 in the states
we examined, sharply down from 76 percent in 2006.
• Dark money surged in these states by 38 times on
average between 2006 and 2014.
• State super PACs, which are legally required to
disclose their donors and thus hold themselves out to be transparent,
increasingly reported donations from nonprofit groups that are not, themselves,
required to disclose their donors. Donations from dark groups to super PACs
increased by 49 times in these states between 2006 and 2014, from less than
$190,000 to over $9.2 million.
• In a troubling new phenomenon, “gray money” has
ballooned to nearly 60 percent of all outside spending in 2014, on average in
the states examined.
• Measuring dark money alone understates the extent
of the transparency problem. There was a sharp rise in what was termed “gray
money”: spending by state super PACs that reported other PACs as donors, making
it impossible to identify original donors without sifting through multiple
layers of PAC disclosures.
• “Gray money” ballooned from 15 percent of all
outside spending on average across the six states in 2006 to 59 percent of all
outside spending by 2014.
• Dark money at the state and local levels
frequently flows from special interests with a direct and immediate economic
stake in the outcome of the contest in which they are spending, in contrast to
what is often portrayed as the more broadly ideological outside spending at the
federal level. When uncovered, secret money at this level has traced back to
such sources as a mining company targeting a state legislator who held a key
role opposing quicker mining permits, payday lenders supporting an attorney
general who promised to shield them from regulation, and food companies
battling a ballot measure to add labeling requirements.
• Lower costs make it relatively easy for dark money
to dominate state and local elections. For many of the contests we looked at,
dark money groups outspent candidates themselves with amounts in the low
$100,000s or even $10,000s — a modest business expense for special interests,
but a major hurdle for many candidates and community groups. At the federal level that degree of dominance
can easily cost in the $10 millions.
• Strong disclosure laws and enforcement can make a
real difference. California, which saw many times more outside spending than
any of the other states we examined, nevertheless saw a remarkably low amount
of dark money in each cycle. It seems that the state’s exceptionally tough
disclosure requirements and active enforcement culture have helped to keep
secretive spending at a relative minimum.
There are several reasons to be particularly
concerned about the corrosive effects of dark and gray money at the state and
local levels. First, regulatory power at these levels is more concentrated, and
more often subject to direct election, than at the federal level. From attorney
general to comptroller to water district director, numerous state and local
elected offices are capable of directly impacting special interests’ bottom
lines. Also distinct from the federal level, voters in every state and
innumerable counties and towns face ballot measures where they directly decide
policy questions — education spending, collective bargaining, taxes — often with
major financial consequences for a relatively small but economically powerful
constituency.
Second, these are often low-information elections,
where it may not take much advertising to sway voters. This is particularly
true in nonpartisan contests, such as ballot measure elections and many local races,
where voters do not have party affiliations as a signal. In such cases, special
interest spenders can hope to have a greater influence on voters than in
high-profile elections featuring many voices.
Finally, lower costs make it relatively easy for
dark and gray money to flood state and local elections with unaccountable
messages. Entities with deceptively community-minded names — Californians for
Good Schools and Good Jobs, shielding a Texas oil company; Proper Role of
Government Education Association, shielding payday lenders — can invest
relatively modest amounts but still saturate the airwaves and mailboxes.
How can this problem be fixed? One way would be to
persuade the Supreme Court to overturn misguided decisions such as Citizens
United, which empowered donors to funnel unlimited amounts of spending through
opaque entities such as social welfare nonprofits and shell companies. Short of
that, the report offers a set of practical reforms to improve electoral
transparency while protecting truly vulnerable speakers. Though reform at the
federal level has stagnated because of inaction at the Federal Election
Commission, Internal Revenue Service, and Congress, a number of states and
cities have been more eager and able to respond to recent onslaughts of dark
money
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